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Bill Gates -- A Prophet?

Web posted on March 17, 2020

Bill Gates is afraid. Or, at least he was in 2015 when he gave a video interview in which he predicted a massive pandemic greater than the ebola crisis.

Gates and his wife have been active in health care and disease controls in Africa for many years. His prediction came from computer models he requested after ebola was under control.

What he found was a 50 per cent or greater probability of a massive pandemic the likes of which we have never seen before. It will be even greater than the 1918-1919 Spanish Flu which infected 500 million people, slightly more than a quarter of the world's population at the time.

(Incidentally, the pandemic did not start in Spain. Spanish press was the first to openly write about the presence of the pandemic.)

Figures on how many were killed by the flu range from 17 million to 50 million world-wide and might actually be as high as 100 million. It was until now the deadliest epidemic in history.

Gates notes the rate of spread today is about 50 times greater than in 1918. Cause: increased and more efficient transportation.

Two years ago, Gates spoke with President Donald Trump and urged him to engage in greater preparedness for any coming pandemic. He was ignored.

The emergence of covid-19 little more than 100 years after the Spanish Flu makes Bill Gates appear to be a Prophet.

Should we be afraid? Certainly. It's only natural, but as C.S. Lewis wrote in 1948, the world has survived the plague and the Spanish Flu and life went on. If we are strong we can survive the latest challenge nature has to offer.

Improved communication and improved health care will mitigate the on-coming tragedy if we follow protocols issued by those who are knowledgeable and informed about the pandemic.

Being recognized at an early stage of evolution can have a positive effect on containing and mitigating the covid-19 crisis.

How long will it take? No one knows. But a week-and-a-half state of emergency announced by Premier Doug Ford on St. Patrick's Day likely will have little of no impact.

Have we done enough? Maybe. Can we do more? Hard to say. An economy devastated by the virus, bringing in little or no income, heavy government spending on health and an almost guaranteed need for more funds, how long before governments are bankrupted?

"Attitude is a little thing that makes a big difference," Winston Churchill said. We must adapt to the new reality and change our attitude to one of achieving success, even if, as Churchill also noted, it is not final.

Did you know Sir Isaac Newton predicted in 1604 that the world would end in 2060? Most of us know him for the discovery of the Rule of Gravity when an apple dropped from a tree.

Are we witnessing, as Newton suggests, the beginning of the end? Ahh, but that's fruit for another time.

 

That's it. Until next time


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